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Thunder vs. Kings NBA expert prediction and odds for NBA In-Season Tournament Group Play

By Peter Dewey

Apr 12, 2023; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) is congratulated by forward Jalen Williams (8) and forward Jaylin Williams (6) after being fouled by New Orleans Pelicans forward Herbert Jones (5) during the second half at Smoothie King Center. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 12, 2023; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) is congratulated by forward Jalen Williams (8) and forward Jaylin Williams (6) after being fouled by New Orleans Pelicans forward Herbert Jones (5) during the second half at Smoothie King Center. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Oklahoma City Thunder are off to a fast start this season, going 5-3 overall and 6-2 against the spread heading into a NBA In-Season Tournament Group Play matchup with the Sacramento Kings on Friday night.

The Kings are just 3-4 this season with star guard De’Aaron Fox out of the lineup right now with an injury, which has led to OKC being favored on the road in this game.

Golden 1 Center is a tough road environment, but the Thunder may have the edge with everyone healthy coming into this game.

Here’s a look at the latest odds, and my best bet, for this In-Season Tournament showdown.

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Thunder vs. Kings odds, spread and total

Thunder vs. Kings how to watch

  • Date: Friday, Nov. 10
  • Game Time: 10:00 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center
  • How to Watch (TV): Bally Sports Southwest, NBC Sports California
  • Oklahoma City Thunder Record: 5-3
  • Sacramento Kings Record: 3-4

Thunder vs. Kings injury reports

Oklahoma City Thunder injury report

  • Kenrich Williams – out
  • Keyontae Johnson – out

Sacramento Kings injury report

  • De’Aaron Fox – out
  • Trey Lyles – out

Thunder vs. Kings key players to watch

Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: An All-NBA selection last season, SGA has been dominant at points this season, most recently scoring 43 points on 15-of-22 shooting in a win over the Cleveland Cavaliers. He could be in line for a big game against a shorthanded Kings team.

Sacramento Kings

Malik Monk: Monk has taken on a bigger role with Fox out, scoring 22, 16, 18, five and 23 points in his last five games. Monk shot just 4-for-16 from the field in his last game – but he got to the line enough to tally 23 points. He needs to be more efficient for this team to stay afloat until Fox is back.

Domantas Sabonis: There’s a lot of pressure on Sabonis to carry this team with Fox out, and he should have an interesting matchup with the lank – but thin – Chet Holmgren on Friday. Holmgren is going to have to hold his own against one of the more physical bigs in the NBA.

Thunder vs. Kings prediction and pick

Oklahoma City is 6-2 against the spread this season, and the team is just a short favorite in this game.

I’m going to throw out the points and simply take the Thunder to win this game.

The Kings are 1-3 since Fox went down with their only win coming by three points against the Portland Trail Blazers.

The team simply doesn’t have an easy fix to replace Fox’s scoring and playmaking abilities, and it’s made it tough on the team’s offense, scoring 101 or fewer points in all three losses.

OKC, on the other hand, is No. 7 in the NBA in offensive rating this season. The team is going to score at a high level, and that’s a major issue for the Kings if their offense still suffers.

I’ll take the Thunder to pick up win No. 6 on Friday night.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey’s betting record here.

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