Best NBA prop bets today for Grizzlies vs. Thunder (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should thrive)

Breaking down the best prop bets for the Grizzlies-Thunder matchup in the NBA on Monday.

Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2).
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2). / Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports
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The Oklahoma City Thunder are one of the best teams in the NBA right now, and they’ve done it with a ton of young talent – led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren. 

I have a prop bet for both of those Thunder youngsters, as well as a way to fade a certain Memphis Grizzlies player on Monday night. 

This is Memphis’ last game during Ja Morant’s suspension, so OKC is going to want to take advantage in this matchup. 

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Grizzlies vs. Thunder best NBA prop bets 

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 30.5 points
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. UNDER 33.5 points, rebounds and assists
  • Chet Holmgren OVER 2.5 blocks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 30.5 points

Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.7 points per game this season, and he’s cleared this number in 14 of 24 games this season heading into Monday’s matchup. 

The Grizzlies won’t have Marcus Smart, who would likely be the primary defender for SGA, on Monday, which should make things easy for the Thunder star. 

The Grizzlies are a middling defense this season, and I’d be surprised to SGA have another down game after he shot 9-for-20 his last time out. 

Jaren Jackson Jr. UNDER 33.5 points, rebounds and assists

I’m fading Jaren Jackson Jr. in this prop even though he has two 40-plus point games in his last three. 

On the season, JJJ has cleared 33.5 PRA just seven times in 24 games. The thing in common with those matchups? He’s scored at least 27 points in every game that he’s cleared this number. 

While the Grizzlies big man is averaging 21.8 points per game, he’s only scored 27 or more eight times – meaning he still failed to go over this in a game where he had 27 points. 

JJJ is not as great of a rebounder as some think (5.7 rebounds per game) and he’s averaging just 1.8 assists per game on the season. I’m fading him here. 

Chet Holmgren OVER 2.5 blocks

Over his last six games, Chet Holmgren has at least three blocks in five of them. 

The Thunder big man has been a machine blocking shots, averaging 2.7 per game on the season. Tonight, he gets to face a Memphis team that allows the most blocks in the NBA this season to opponents (6.8 per game). 

Chet should have a field day on defense.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.