The Oklahoma City Thunder have a chance to sweep the New Orleans Pelicans and advance to the second round of the playoffs on Monday night as road favorites.
I’m already considering a bet on OKC to win and cover the spread in this game, but what about the prop market?
There are three props that I like for this matchup, including two plays that relate to Lu Dort, who has been terrific in this series for the Thunder – especially on the defensive end.
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Let’s break down the plays for Game 4:
Thunder vs. Pelicans best NBA prop bets
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 27.5 points
- Lu Dort OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
- Brandon Ingram UNDER 21.5 points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 27.5 points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a down scoring game in Game 3, putting up 24 points, but he’s cleared 27.5 points in two of the three games in this series.
SGA is going to get a ton of attention from the New Orleans defense, but he’s also going to have some major usage, attempting 24, 19 and 20 shots in his first three games in this series.
The Pels have some solid perimeter defenders, but SGA averaged well over 30 points per game in the regular season, and his role hasn’t changed in the playoffs. This number is too low to pass up on Monday.
Lu Dort OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
Lu Dort has been lights out from beyond the arc in the playoffs, shooting 10-for-18 from 3, hitting multiple shots from deep in each game.
Dort isn’t the best 3-point shooter, but he shot 39.4 percent from deep during the regular season. He’s also going to get his looks, attempting at least four shots from 3 in each game, including 14 in his last two matchups.
This is a favorable number for Dort after back-to-back games with four or more 3-balls.
Brandon Ingram UNDER 21.5 points
On defense, Dort has held Brandon Ingram in check, keeping the former All-Star under 20 points in every game in this series.
Ingram is just 9-for-22 from the field when guarded by Dort, per NBA.com, scoring 22 points across nearly 118 possessions in this series.
If this keeps up, I can’t expect Ingram to score 22 or more, especially since he’s taken just 10 and 14 shots in his last two games.
Trust Dort’s defense to keep Ingram – who entered these playoffs at less than 100 percent due to an injury late in the season – in check.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.