Raptors vs. Thunder NBA expert prediction and odds for Sunday, Feb. 4 (Trust OKC at home)

The Thunder are elite at home, but can they cover the spread on Sunday?
Oklahoma City Thunder forward Jaylin Williams (6).
Oklahoma City Thunder forward Jaylin Williams (6). / Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

The Oklahoma City Thunder need to shake some Sunday scaries on Feb. 4, as the team lost outright on Sunday last week to the Detroit Pistons. 

The Thunder will look to avoid the same fate as major favorites against the Toronto Raptors, who were blown out by the Houston Rockets in Houston in their last game. 

The Raptors are just 17-31 on the season and an awful 2-8 in their last 10 games. 

While OKC won’t have second-year forward Jalen Williams in this game, the team has other players that can step up and take on an expanded role. OKC is elite as a home favorite, going 17-3 straight up, but can it cover the spread on Sunday? 

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Here’s a look at the latest odds and my best bet for this matchup: 

Raptors vs. Thunder odds, spread and total

Raptors vs. Thunder how to watch

  • Date: Sunday, Feb. 4
  • Time: 7:00 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Paycom Center
  • How to watch (TV): Bally Sports Southwest, Sportsnet CA
  • Raptors record: 17-31
  • Thunder record: 34-15

Raptors vs. Thunder injury reports

Raptors injury report

  • RJ Barrett – questionable
  • Javon Freeman-Liberty – out
  • Kira Lewis Jr. – out
  • Markquis Nowell – out
  • Jontay Porter – out

Thunder injury report

  • Jalen Williams – out
  • Isaiah Joe – out
  • Tre Mann – questionable

Raptors vs. Thunder key players to watch

Toronto Raptors

Scottie Barnes: Barnes is coming off a 28-point game against Houston, and he’s played well for the Raptors since the team moved OG Anunoby and Pascal Siakam. The Raptors will need even more from Barnes on Sunday if they want to pull off the upset. He’s averaging 20.3 points, 8.1 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace: Thunder rookie Cason Wallace earned the start in place of Williams against the Charlotte Hornets, and he responded with a big game in just under 25 minutes. Wallace hit 5-of-7 shots from the field (2-for-4 from 3) scoring 12 points in the win. He should be in line for an expanded role tonight as well. 

Raptors vs. Thunder prediction and pick

This is a prime spot for the Thunder, who enter this game with an impressive 14-6 ATS record as home favorites, winning those games by an average margin of 13.9 points per game. 

Toronto has been a mess since making multiple deals ahead of the deadline, and the team ranks 28th in the NBA in net rating over its last 10 games. 

Over that same stretch, OKC is sixth in the league in net rating and has now climbed into a tie for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference. 

Even if RJ Barrett returns for the Raptors tonight, I don’t think the team has the firepower to keep up with OKC, especially since it’s struggled on defense, allowing over 130 points to Houston in its last game and ranking 22nd in defensive rating over its last 10 games.

Give me OKC to cover at home. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.