Thunder vs. Spurs NBA expert prediction and odds for Thursday, Feb. 29 (How to bet on OKC)

Feb 27, 2024; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder forward Chet Holmgren (7) moves
Feb 27, 2024; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder forward Chet Holmgren (7) moves | Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

The Thunder and Spurs meet on Thursday night in San Antonio as the Thunder look to further its case for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference.

Oklahoma City has had little issue with San Antonio this season, but all eyes will be on the individual matchup between Chet Holmgren and Victor Wembanyama, the two contenders for Rookie of the Year. While OKC has had the team success, it's been the French sensation who has won the matchup.

Can Holmgren shine while OKC likely wins? Here's our betting preview for Thursday's matchup:

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Thunder vs. Spurs Odds, Spread and Total

Spurs vs. Thunder Betting Trends

  • Thunder are 37-20-1 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • Spurs are 28-31 ATS this season
  • Spurs have gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games

Thunder vs. Spurs Injury Reports

Thunder Injury Report

  • N/A

Spurs Injury Report

  • Marcus Morris - OUT

Thunder vs. Spurs How to Watch

  • Date: Thursday, February 29th
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM EST
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center
  • How to Watch (TV): KENS
  • Thunder Record: 41-17
  • Spurs Record: 11-48

Thunder vs. Spurs Key Players to Watch

Thunder

Chet Holmgren: The battle of two outstanding rookies, Holmgren will look to get the better of runaway Rookie of the Year favorite Wembanyama on Thursday. OKC got the better of the Spurs both times this season, winning by double digits in each, but Holmgren has failed to score more than 20 points, can he have a big game against a poor Spurs defense?

Spurs

Victor Wembanyama: The hype is real for the French big man. Even in a dismal season for San Antonio, Wembanyama has dazzled, averaging over 20 points with 10 rebounds, three assists, and three blocks. While the team can't string together wins, Wemby has proven his worth.

Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction and Pick

The Thunder have had little issue beating up on the lowly Spurs this season, winning each game by double digits, and I expect the team to make quick work of San Antonio yet again, but I'm not interested in laying the points

I'd prefer to target just the Thunder offense, and take its team total over.

Both teams are inside the top 10 in terms of pace and the Thunder rank third in terms of offensive rating, per NBA.com. Meanwhile, San Antonio is 24th in defensive rating despite Wembanyama's unicorn ability as a defender, able to swat shots near the rim and on the perimeter.

OKC has scored 123 and 140 points against the Spurs in the two games this season, I'll take the over in hopes the team can play up to expectation.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Schedule