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Thunder Draft Tiers: Who to pick, who to pass, who remains a mystery

This draft class is loaded
Yaxel Lendeborg, Michigan Wolverines
Yaxel Lendeborg, Michigan Wolverines | Eric Seals / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter the 2026 NBA Draft with an ocean of possibilities open ahead of them. Who do they target, what trades could they make, and which prospects don't fit Thunder basketball?

No one is better equipped to answer those questions than Sam Presti, the league's premier basketball decision-maker. That doesn't make the task any easier, of course. The Thunder are facing a massive luxury tax bill, striking a balance between development and contention, and solving the alien puzzle that is Victor Wembanyama.

OKC has two first-round picks on Tuesday night, No. 12 and No. 17. For a team with the best record in the league last season, that is quite the advantageous position.

The Thunder could move up the draft board by attaching picks or players to their current selections. They could trade down or out and pick up future draft capital. They could take a big swing on a veteran player and use a pick in that way.

That optionality means that the Thunder must have a ranking of every player in the first round. That is what we provide here - with minimal commentary other than the tiers themselves. This is our assessment of which players would fit best with the Thunder, ranked from 1 to 30.

Tier 1: The Ultimate Thunder Player

This is a tier of one, as one player fits everything the Thunder want in terms of skill and positional size. Cam Boozer, Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams would annihilate opposing frontcourts. It would take heaven and earth to trade up high enough to take him, but it would be a dream match.

1. Carlos Boozer, Forward, Duke

Tier 2: Future All-NBA Players

These three will also go in the Top 4, and while none are seamless fits with the Thunder roster, they all offer such upside that OKC would leap at the chance to draft any.

2. AJ Dybantsa, Forward, BYU

3. Darryn Peterson, Guard, Kansas

4. Caleb Wilson, Forward, UNC

Tier 3: Immediate Starters and Future Stars

These players would be worked quickly into the Thunder rotation and likely starting lineup, and their upside with OKC would be immense.

5. Keaton Wagler, Guard, Illinois

6. Brayden Burries, Guard, Arizona

7. Yaxel Lendeborg, Forward, Michigan

8. Morez Johnson, Forward/Big, Michigan

Tier 4: Prime Rotation Players

These players would fit what the Thunder are trying to do, and even if they are blocked by other players in the starting lineup, they could be contributors now or later.

9. Mikel Brown Jr., Guard, Louisville

10. Dailyn Swain, Wing, Texas

11. Hannes Steinbach, Center, Washington

12. Nate Ament, Forward, Tennesee

13. Aday Mara, Center, Michigan

Tier 5: Too Small for Thunder Basketball

This group is of guards who should and will go higher than this, but they are too small for Thunder basketball and thus OKC should pass.

14. Kingston Flemings, Guard, Houston

15. Darius Acuff Jr., Guard, Arkansas

Tier 6: Great Value to Trade Down

These players show that there is some depth in this class, allowing for the Thunder to trade down a few spots and still land a solid prospect.

16. Allen Graves, Forward, Santa Clara

17. Bennett Stirtz, Guard, Iowa

18. Cameron Carr, Wing, Baylor

19. Isaiah Evans, Wing, Duke

20. Joshua Jefferson, Forward, Iowa State

21. Sergio de Larrea, Guard, Spain

Tier 7: The Backup Bigs

If the Thunder want to add depth at center they have a few options in the 20s.

22. Tarris Reed Jr., Center, UConn

23. Jayden Quaintance, Center, Kentucky

23. Henri Veesaar, Center, UNC

Tier 8: Too Small, Take Two

More guards that are a bit small for what the Thunder want to do.

24. Christian Anderson, Guard, Texas Tech

25. Ebuka Okorie, Guard, Stanford

26. Labaron Philon, Guard, Alabama

Tier 9: Connective Pieces

These role players could fill a role for the Thunder down the line.

27. Meleek Thomas, Wing, Arkansas

28. Richie Saunders, Wing, BYU

29. Baba Miller, Forward, Cincinnati

Tier 10: The Projects

The Thunder are probably past burning roster spots on projects, but each of these players brings some intrigue.

30. Koa Peat, Forward, Arizona

31. Karim Lopez, Forward, New Zealand Breakers

32. Chris Cenac Jr., Big, Houston

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